CASCACascade Atlas

Evidence dossier

CVE-2015-0311

Unspecified vulnerability in Adobe Flash Player through 13.0.0.262 and 14.x, 15.x, and 16.x through 16.0.0.287 on Windows and OS X and through 11.2.202.438 on Linux allows…

Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Apr 13, 2022). NVD reports CVSS 3.1 9.8. Severity assessments differ within at least one CVSS version. EPSS estimates 85.8% exploit likelihood as of Aug 27, 2026.

84.2–89.9Priority evidence range
Evidence current through Aug 27, 2026, 6:09 PM UTC

As of Aug 27, 2026

Normalized restatement

Unspecified vulnerability in Adobe Flash Player through 13.0.0.262 and 14.x, 15.x, and 16.x through 16.0.0.287 on Windows and OS X and through 11.2.202.438 on Linux allows remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via unknown vectors, as exploited in the wild in January 2015.

State
PUBLISHED
Published
Jan 23, 2015
Updated
Nov 17, 2025
Evidence coverage
86%

Evidence chronology

What was known when

Download this view's receipt →
  1. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    adobe

    Record text: Unspecified vulnerability in Adobe Flash Player through 13.0.0.262 and 14.x, 15.x, and 16.x through 16.0.0.287 on Windows and OS X and through 11.2.202.438 on Linux allows remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via unknown vectors, as exploited in the wild in January 2015.

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    Unspecified vulnerability in Adobe Flash Player through 13.0.0.262 and 14.x, 15.x, and 16.x through 16.0.0.287 on Windows and OS X and through 11.2.202.438 on Linux allows remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via unknown vectors, as exploited in the wild in January 2015.
    Original evidence ↗
  2. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA-ADP

    Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    CISA ADP Vulnrichment
    Original evidence ↗
  3. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    CVE Program

    Record text: CVE Program Container

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    CVE Program Container
    Original evidence ↗
  4. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA KEV

    Exploitation cataloged: Adobe Flash Player Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    observed_exploitation
    Value
    Adobe Flash Player Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
    Original evidence ↗
  5. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    FIRST EPSS

    EPSS score: 85.82% probability · 99.71th percentile

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    model_probability
    Value
    Probability 0.858200000000; percentile 0.997120000000
    Original evidence ↗

Assessments differ

NVD9.8CVSS 3.1 · source date omitted
NVD10.0CVSS 2.0 · source date omitted
CVE Program source7.8CVSS 3.1 · source date omitted

Values are shown separately by source and CVSS version.

ExploitationCatalog member

CISA KEV · catalog date Apr 13, 2022 · first observed Jul 19, 2026

Exploit likelihood85.82%

FIRST EPSS · score date Aug 27, 2026 · 99.7th percentile · first observed Aug 27, 2026

SeverityAssessments differ

NVD · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Jul 19, 2026 · values shown separately below

Evidence detail

Source limits and decisions

Why each evidence state has this value

casca-unknown-reasons-v1
Exploitation statusEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
None
Exploit likelihoodEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
None
Severity assessmentAssessments differ

Eligible assertions materially conflict and remain visible side by side.

Revision
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
Resolve conflict
Affected productsSource-reported scope

The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.

Revision
casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
Resolve identity

Source comparison

Who said what

adobeOriginal assertion
Record text

Unspecified vulnerability in Adobe Flash Player through 13.0.0.262 and 14.x, 15.x, and 16.x through 16.0.0.287 on Windows and OS X and through 11.2.202.438 on Linux allows remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via unknown vectors, as exploited in the wild in January 2015.

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
Unspecified vulnerability in Adobe Flash Player through 13.0.0.262 and 14.x, 15.x, and 16.x through 16.0.0.287 on Windows and OS X and through 11.2.202.438 on Linux allows remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via unknown vectors, as exploited in the wild in January 2015.
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CISA-ADPIndependent enrichment
Record text

CISA ADP Vulnrichment

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CVE ProgramDerivative copy
Record text

CVE Program Container

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
CVE Program Container
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CISA KEVOriginal assertion
Exploitation cataloged

Adobe Flash Player Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

Inspect raw assertion
Field
observed_exploitation
Value
Adobe Flash Player Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
FIRST EPSSOriginal assertion
EPSS score

85.82% probability · 99.71th percentile

Inspect raw assertion
Field
model_probability
Value
Probability 0.858200000000; percentile 0.997120000000
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗

Applicability

Cited product scope

Trace impact →
20Underlying assertions
14Canonical products
9Target assertions
11Constraint assertions

Grouped from 11 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.

Identity source boundaries
  • Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa
  • Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e

15 scope groups

adobe · source assertedn/an/aDirect source scope
Affected: n/a
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "n/a"}]
NVD CPE · APPLICATIONadobeflash_playerVulnerable target · 3 assertions
Any version (unconstrained) (<= 11.2.202.438); Any version (unconstrained) (<= 13.0.0.262); Any version (unconstrained) (>= 14.0.0.125, < 16.0.0.287)Canonical identity product-1f43dd2fb9df2cb64d1a717194e5325cf3f2d14dbb24ebbb35d9226a3dc1cbe7Linked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    1 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    through including 13.0.0.262
    Match ID
    04ae698a-9e64-42ca-aafb-f72295c0bfe9
  2. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    1 · node/0 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    from including 14.0.0.125; through excluding 16.0.0.287
    Match ID
    4112453a-e2ba-4c22-ac5a-f186f953012b
  3. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    through including 11.2.202.438
    Match ID
    774569cc-7893-4712-9baf-96f6c58f1f10
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMapplemac_os_xEnvironmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-94613e1f5039e71a9805f20421d56ac6a61e2707d3f97a08fdf6823a65dc7b76Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:apple:mac_os_x:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    1 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    4781bf1e-8a4e-4aff-9540-23d523ee30dd
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMlinuxlinux_kernelEnvironmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-0eda7a801761be4590f267cf319481c8c0aaa30546d99cc064edf77989ce05c9Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:linux:linux_kernel:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    0 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    703af700-7a70-47e2-bc3a-7fd03b3ca9c1
NVD CPE · APPLICATIONmicrosoftedgeVulnerable target · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-392790dbff8af15e1e2ba8b85e7e6ce068ad4439e95ad4241880503780c43a59Linked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:a:microsoft:edge:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    5 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    77d197d7-57fb-4898-8c70-b19d5f0d5be0
NVD CPE · APPLICATIONmicrosoftinternet_explorerVulnerable target · 2 assertions
Version 10; Version 11Canonical identity product-d26e3505f2452daa926474c7ca23fc78f73a7b20902783174428ff8d6e276baaLinked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:a:microsoft:internet_explorer:10:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    3 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    d5808661-a082-4cbe-808c-b253972487b4
  2. cpe:2.3:a:microsoft:internet_explorer:11:-:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    4 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    d7809f78-8d56-4925-a8f9-4119b973a667
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindowsEnvironmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-6a798dc931affc038ba266631a506d54b455ffebd96b4fae68f77b6bd7aef178Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    1 · node/1 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    a2572d17-1de6-457b-99cc-64afd54487ea
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_10_1507Environmental constraint · 2 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-9851bd571b8ab08bca589cd73710badfef557d036f0fb7707f694f1c9f597cb4Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1507:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    5 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    542daeec-73cc-46c6-a630-bf474a3446ac
  2. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1507:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    4 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    542daeec-73cc-46c6-a630-bf474a3446ac
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_8Environmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-5a559e3d4b779565d6fa99223972e75a4cba4d476b27b830a78ab8eb44d5bef2Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_8:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    3 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    0d229e41-a971-4284-9657-16d78414b93f
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_8.1Environmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-7e46de82012029583622f69d79b86bc210b5bd25b8cb3bb4468936702b23c4b0Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_8.1:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    4 · node/1 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    e93068db-549b-45ab-8e5c-00eb5d8b5cf8
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_rtEnvironmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-f2e843a0733f87d1fbdb9ac1bcb919b5de195839b7bcb2713e04543f626be126Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_rt:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    3 · node/1 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    abc7a32c-4a4a-4533-b42e-350e728adfeb
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_rt_8.1Environmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-076c7e47c78d9425d54dea0b063ed7cd79e5f9f0bfdb3c9153b8aec4e71a7ad9Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_rt_8.1:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    4 · node/1 · match 2
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    c6ce5198-c498-4672-af4c-77ab4be06c5c
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_server_2012Environmental constraint · 2 assertions
Version not applicable; Version r2Canonical identity product-5a80416e92fed0cddbb3d4f3840218b448dee11159824ad25a0353da566963feLinked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:r2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    4 · node/1 · match 3
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    db18c4ce-5917-401e-acf7-2747084fd36e
  2. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    3 · node/1 · match 2
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    a7df96f8-ba6a-4780-9ca3-f719b3f81074
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMsuselinux_enterprise_desktopVulnerable target · 2 assertions
Version 11; Version 12Canonical identity product-908c58b965f5cdd7f6621821fd6c68d62c5a5ce89de01a9e91af7286e0b17d41Linked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:o:suse:linux_enterprise_desktop:12:-:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    2 · node/0 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    d2df4815-b8cb-4ad3-b91d-2e09a8e318e9
  2. cpe:2.3:o:suse:linux_enterprise_desktop:11:sp3:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    2 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    3ed68add-bbda-4485-bc76-58f011d72311
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMsuselinux_enterprise_workstation_extensionVulnerable target · 1 assertions
Version 12Canonical identity product-6e046fb997f096ca9d3ba77e0e7dba3aad0205129bb30ab70c401b282bcd0f8dLinked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:suse:linux_enterprise_workstation_extension:12:-:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    2 · node/0 · match 2
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    028aba8f-4e7b-4cd0-b6fc-3a0941e254ba

Affected-product evidence

Accepted scope and product mapping

5 canonical links · 1 source-reported links

Mapping establishedEvidence supported

vendor-70d8e9d1eb9ce5b2e6b4c9351aebc88bced6ea77611cbc8d5cdbe8115b6faed8 · product-1f43dd2fb9df2cb64d1a717194e5325cf3f2d14dbb24ebbb35d9226a3dc1cbe7

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
3
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
5ffd4a10-f872-43cd-bbe8-e1ac49cc93428898853d-1e5e-4129-a82c-aeee3a33cf4c8fd680df-36fe-4268-a76a-bbcb2c12e20f
Mapping establishedEvidence supported

vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-392790dbff8af15e1e2ba8b85e7e6ce068ad4439e95ad4241880503780c43a59

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
1
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
6813219c-f427-4bfd-90ea-d61d70718f17
Mapping establishedEvidence supported

vendor-6bbcd126779403146e957d68529786b086421e0676d9e90a4d53d03594694fb2 · product-6e046fb997f096ca9d3ba77e0e7dba3aad0205129bb30ab70c401b282bcd0f8d

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
1
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
26cff250-1755-4743-a56e-35b03b74d1ca
Mapping establishedEvidence supported

vendor-6bbcd126779403146e957d68529786b086421e0676d9e90a4d53d03594694fb2 · product-908c58b965f5cdd7f6621821fd6c68d62c5a5ce89de01a9e91af7286e0b17d41

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
2
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
5032fda2-d9ed-4977-99fe-42edff231070e124a970-c7a3-4858-bed5-c9bc062f88fe
Mapping establishedEvidence supported

vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-d26e3505f2452daa926474c7ca23fc78f73a7b20902783174428ff8d6e276baa

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
2
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
37419276-085e-4002-a8fa-a3440b2d54a6e943ad41-ba38-48dc-bfad-5f823eb304ac
Source-reported scopeSource-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source

Source class
Direct cve affected
Assertions
1
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
576099dc-554a-466d-b9df-28cf082fd178

Assessments

CVSS by origin

9.8
NVDCVSS 3.1 · role Primary · priority eligiblevalid_matchCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
10.0
NVDCVSS 2.0 · role Primary · priority eligiblevalid_matchAV:N/AC:L/Au:N/C:C/I:C/A:C
7.8
CVE Program sourceCVSS 3.1 · role Secondary · priority eligiblevalid_matchCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
7.8
CISA-ADPCVSS 3.1 · role unknown · display onlyDirect record assessment retained outside normalized eligibilityCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

Direct CVE/CNA normalized decisions

7.8Priority eligible

CISA-ADP

CVSS 3.1 · Secondary · Independent enrichment · rank 2

CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
Validation
Valid match
Recomputed
7.8
Decision reason
Evidence supported
Policy
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1

Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.

Evidence boundaries

  • KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
  • EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
  • Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
  • NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
  • Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
  • NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
  • Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
  • OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
  • Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
  • Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.