CASCACascade Atlas

Evidence dossier

CVE-2015-2546

CVE-2015-2546

63.9–82.1Priority evidence range
As known Jul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM UTCgen-56ccdaf9

Normalized restatement

The kernel-mode driver in Microsoft Windows Vista SP2, Windows Server 2008 SP2 and R2 SP1, Windows 7 SP1, Windows 8, Windows 8.1, Windows Server 2012 Gold and R2, Windows RT Gold and 8.1, and Windows 10 allows local users to gain privileges via a crafted application, aka "Win32k Memory Corruption Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability," a different vulnerability than CVE-2015-2511, CVE-2015-2517, and CVE-2015-2518.

State
PUBLISHED
Published
Sep 9, 2015
Updated
Oct 21, 2025
Evidence coverage
72%
CISA KEVCatalog member

Apply updates per vendor instructions.

FIRST EPSS10.93%

2026-07-18 · v2026.06.15 · percentile 95.4%

Source stateConflict visible

Distinct CVSS assessments remain side by side; none are averaged.

Source comparison

Who said what

CISA-ADPindependent enrichment
container

CISA ADP Vulnrichment

CVEderivative copy
container

CVE Program Container

microsoftoriginal assertion
container

The kernel-mode driver in Microsoft Windows Vista SP2, Windows Server 2008 SP2 and R2 SP1, Windows 7 SP1, Windows 8, Windows 8.1, Windows Server 2012 Gold and R2, Windows RT Gold and 8.1, and Windows 10 allows local users to gain privileges via a crafted application, aka "Win32k Memory Corruption Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability," a different vulnerability than CVE-2015-2511, CVE-2015-2517, and CVE-2015-2518.

CISA KEVoriginal assertion
observed_exploitation

Microsoft Win32k Memory Corruption Vulnerability

FIRST EPSSoriginal assertion
model_probability

Probability 0.109290000000; percentile 0.953840000000

Applicability

Cited product scope

Trace impact →
n/an/a
[{"status": "affected", "version": "n/a"}]unknown
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1507:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_7:-:sp1:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_8:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_8.1:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_rt:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_rt_8.1:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2008:r2:sp1:*:*:*:*:itanium:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2008:r2:sp1:*:*:*:*:x64:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2008:-:sp2:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:r2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*supported
Unknown vendorUnknown product
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_vista:-:sp2:*:*:*:*:*:*supported

Assessments

CVSS by origin

6.9
nvd@nist.govCVSS 2.0 · role PrimaryAV:L/AC:M/Au:N/C:C/I:C/A:C
8.2
134c704f-9b21-4f2e-91b3-4a467353bcc0CVSS 3.1 · role SecondaryCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:R/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H
8.2
CISA-ADPCVSS 3.1 · role unknownCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:R/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H

Limitations and unknowns

  • KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
  • EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
  • Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; unresolved scope remains unknown.
  • NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative and are not independent corroboration.
  • Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
  • NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
  • Factor D is unknown in Public Core because no accepted canonical mapping-obligation ledger is present.
  • Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.