CASCACascade Atlas

Evidence dossier

CVE-2018-15982

Flash Player versions 31.0.0.153 and earlier, and 31.0.0.108 and earlier have a use after free vulnerability.

Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Feb 15, 2022). NVD reports CVSS 3.1 7.8. EPSS estimates 89.6% exploit likelihood as of Oct 22, 2026.

78.4–87.2Priority evidence range
Evidence through Oct 22, 2026, 6:07 PM UTC

As of Oct 22, 2026

Normalized restatement

Flash Player versions 31.0.0.153 and earlier, and 31.0.0.108 and earlier have a use after free vulnerability. Successful exploitation could lead to arbitrary code execution.

State
PUBLISHED
Published
Jan 18, 2019
Updated
Oct 1, 2026
Evidence coverage
85%

Evidence chronology

What was known when

Download this view's receipt →
  1. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA KEV

    Exploitation cataloged: Adobe Flash Player Use-After-Free Vulnerability

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    observed_exploitation
    Value
    Adobe Flash Player Use-After-Free Vulnerability
    Original evidence ↗
  2. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    adobe

    Record text: Flash Player versions 31.0.0.153 and earlier, and 31.0.0.108 and earlier have a use after free vulnerability. Successful exploitation could lead to arbitrary code execution.

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    Flash Player versions 31.0.0.153 and earlier, and 31.0.0.108 and earlier have a use after free vulnerability. Successful exploitation could lead to arbitrary code execution.
    Original evidence ↗
  3. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA-ADP

    Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    CISA ADP Vulnrichment
    Original evidence ↗
  4. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    CVE Program

    Record text: CVE Program Container

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    CVE Program Container
    Original evidence ↗
  5. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    FIRST EPSS

    EPSS score: 89.58% probability · 99.79th percentile

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    model_probability
    Value
    Probability 0.895810000000; percentile 0.997900000000
    Original evidence ↗
ExploitationCatalog member

CISA KEV · catalog date Feb 15, 2022 · first observed Sep 1, 2026

Exploit likelihood89.58%

FIRST EPSS · score date Oct 22, 2026 · 99.8th percentile · first observed Oct 22, 2026

SeverityCVSS 7.8

NVD · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Oct 2, 2026 · same-version scores align in this snapshot

Evidence detail

Source limits and decisions

Why each evidence state has this value

casca-unknown-reasons-v1
Exploitation statusLast verified source snapshot retained

The last verified source boundary remains in force for this claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
Review source contract
Exploit likelihoodEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
None
Severity assessmentEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
None
Affected productsSource-reported scope

The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.

Revision
casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
Resolve identity

Source comparison

Who said what

CISA KEVOriginal assertion
Exploitation cataloged

Adobe Flash Player Use-After-Free Vulnerability

Inspect raw assertion
Field
observed_exploitation
Value
Adobe Flash Player Use-After-Free Vulnerability
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
adobeOriginal assertion
Record text

Flash Player versions 31.0.0.153 and earlier, and 31.0.0.108 and earlier have a use after free vulnerability. Successful exploitation could lead to arbitrary code execution.

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
Flash Player versions 31.0.0.153 and earlier, and 31.0.0.108 and earlier have a use after free vulnerability. Successful exploitation could lead to arbitrary code execution.
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CISA-ADPIndependent enrichment
Record text

CISA ADP Vulnrichment

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CVE ProgramDerivative copy
Record text

CVE Program Container

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
CVE Program Container
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
FIRST EPSSOriginal assertion
EPSS score

89.58% probability · 99.79th percentile

Inspect raw assertion
Field
model_probability
Value
Probability 0.895810000000; percentile 0.997900000000
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗

Applicability

Cited product scope

Trace impact →
18Underlying assertions
11Canonical products
8Target assertions
10Constraint assertions

Grouped from 9 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.

Identity source boundaries
  • Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa
  • Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e

12 scope groups

adobe · source assertedn/an/aDirect source scope
Affected: n/a
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "n/a"}]
NVD CPE · APPLICATIONadobeflash_playerVulnerable target · 4 assertions
Any version (unconstrained) (<= 31.0.0.153)Canonical identity product-1f43dd2fb9df2cb64d1a717194e5325cf3f2d14dbb24ebbb35d9226a3dc1cbe7Linked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player:*:*:*:*:*:edge:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    2 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    through including 31.0.0.153
    Match ID
    1696e3d0-bdb9-4131-b628-f4150f33062f
  2. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player:*:*:*:*:*:internet_explorer_11:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    2 · node/0 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    through including 31.0.0.153
    Match ID
    f77665a8-f119-4504-8aa5-20e9403ad32b
  3. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    through including 31.0.0.153
    Match ID
    16f63b58-9465-4fab-92d2-93f587fb4dba
  4. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player:*:*:*:*:*:chrome:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    1 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    through including 31.0.0.153
    Match ID
    884faae1-bef6-4d3b-869e-727544be0f6c
NVD CPE · APPLICATIONadobeflash_player_installerVulnerable target · 1 assertions
Any version (unconstrained) (<= 31.0.0.108)Canonical identity product-cc0434b8d5eb946064576069eef18225479aa083d64c2b44ccbe9592c9479556Linked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:flash_player_installer:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    4 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    through including 31.0.0.108
    Match ID
    6b67a4f2-bd99-4f97-914d-086c617b0fa6
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMapplemac_os_xEnvironmental constraint · 2 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-94613e1f5039e71a9805f20421d56ac6a61e2707d3f97a08fdf6823a65dc7b76Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:o:apple:mac_os_x:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    0 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    4781bf1e-8a4e-4aff-9540-23d523ee30dd
  2. cpe:2.3:o:apple:mac_os_x:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    1 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    4781bf1e-8a4e-4aff-9540-23d523ee30dd
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMgooglechrome_osEnvironmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-b52d99a799eb1164ea8aa4323a348a4e22f9a18f12d38b746456eb597b7a5d3dLinked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:google:chrome_os:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    1 · node/1 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    d32acf6f-5ff7-4815-8ead-4719f5fc9b79
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMlinuxlinux_kernelEnvironmental constraint · 2 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-0eda7a801761be4590f267cf319481c8c0aaa30546d99cc064edf77989ce05c9Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:o:linux:linux_kernel:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    0 · node/1 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    703af700-7a70-47e2-bc3a-7fd03b3ca9c1
  2. cpe:2.3:o:linux:linux_kernel:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    1 · node/1 · match 2
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    703af700-7a70-47e2-bc3a-7fd03b3ca9c1
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindowsEnvironmental constraint · 3 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-6a798dc931affc038ba266631a506d54b455ffebd96b4fae68f77b6bd7aef178Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    4 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    a2572d17-1de6-457b-99cc-64afd54487ea
  2. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    1 · node/1 · match 3
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    a2572d17-1de6-457b-99cc-64afd54487ea
  3. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    0 · node/1 · match 2
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    a2572d17-1de6-457b-99cc-64afd54487ea
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_10Environmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-706d745b7981e13adc9253e654169f399f239fa0f1df2a375eb22fb6bc44afceLinked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    2 · node/1 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    21540673-614a-4d40-8bd7-3f07723803b0
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMmicrosoftwindows_8.1Environmental constraint · 1 assertions
Version not applicableCanonical identity product-7e46de82012029583622f69d79b86bc210b5bd25b8cb3bb4468936702b23c4b0Linked exact
Scope constrained
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_8.1:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Environmental constraint
    Configuration
    2 · node/1 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    e93068db-549b-45ab-8e5c-00eb5d8b5cf8
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMredhatenterprise_linux_desktopVulnerable target · 1 assertions
Version 6.0Canonical identity product-ebce605e64c58caa7df6a30e91702332cd8c0be8f801e44353e6350e913ec5aeLinked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:redhat:enterprise_linux_desktop:6.0:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    3 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    ee249e1b-a1fd-4e08-aa71-a0e1f10ffe97
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMredhatenterprise_linux_serverVulnerable target · 1 assertions
Version 6.0Canonical identity product-8db20157ede2f731f576213a7e555a24d2424bb17aed8e43ad9b77c3587f9deaLinked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:redhat:enterprise_linux_server:6.0:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    3 · node/0 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    9bbcd86a-e6c7-4444-9d74-f861084090f0
NVD CPE · OPERATING SYSTEMredhatenterprise_linux_workstationVulnerable target · 1 assertions
Version 6.0Canonical identity product-b2aa744c9fb2b4ef0e3b842acbf37879ad4ac43af291292cfb0906170b204ab9Linked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertion
  1. cpe:2.3:o:redhat:enterprise_linux_workstation:6.0:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    3 · node/0 · match 2
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    e5ed5807-55b7-47c5-97a6-03233f4fbc3a

Affected-product evidence

Accepted scope and product mapping

0 canonical links · 2 source-reported links

Source-reported scopeSource-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source

Source class
Direct cve affected
Assertions
1
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
79b354a2-3e0a-4979-af9e-b32bbaddd9af
Source-reported scopeSource-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
8
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
02276701-9906-4647-a969-5db43e0db58e03abb2d5-5f18-46d8-a701-cc7249473f83331934cd-63e7-48ac-908d-038e3712992f5dab098a-dc29-4308-82d4-5ec9187ba6508ba06877-cdee-455d-9e4a-1d49b0510564d700f65a-8e97-4604-bd1a-89320867ba60dae08930-1595-4421-9835-6a2410cb30a1fd332e62-d3db-4958-8b19-a19972000913

Assessments

CVSS by origin

7.8
NVDCVSS 3.1 · role Primary · priority eligiblevalid_matchCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
10.0
NVDCVSS 2.0 · role Primary · priority eligiblevalid_matchAV:N/AC:L/Au:N/C:C/I:C/A:C
7.8
CVE Program sourceCVSS 3.1 · role Secondary · priority eligiblevalid_matchCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
7.8
CISA-ADPCVSS 3.1 · role unknown · display onlyDirect record assessment retained outside normalized eligibilityCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

Direct CVE/CNA normalized decisions

7.8Priority eligible

CISA-ADP

CVSS 3.1 · Secondary · Independent enrichment · rank 2

CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
Validation
Valid match
Recomputed
7.8
Decision reason
Evidence supported
Policy
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1

Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.

Evidence boundaries

  • KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
  • EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
  • Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
  • NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
  • Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
  • NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
  • Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
  • OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
  • Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
  • Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.