CASCACascade Atlas

Evidence dossier

CVE-2023-38203

Analysis CVE-2023-29300 Bypass: Adobe ColdFusion Pre-Auth RCE

Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Jan 8, 2024). adobe reports CVSS 3.1 9.8. EPSS estimates 96.5% exploit likelihood as of Aug 8, 2026.

86.8–88.3Priority evidence range
Evidence current through Aug 27, 2026, 6:09 PM UTC

As of Aug 27, 2026

Normalized restatement

Adobe ColdFusion versions 2018u17 (and earlier), 2021u7 (and earlier) and 2023u1 (and earlier) are affected by a Deserialization of Untrusted Data vulnerability that could result in Arbitrary code execution. Exploitation of this issue does not require user interaction.

State
PUBLISHED
Published
Jul 20, 2023
Updated
Oct 21, 2025
Evidence coverage
99%

Evidence chronology

What was known when

Download this view's receipt →
  1. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    adobe

    Record text: Analysis CVE-2023-29300 Bypass: Adobe ColdFusion Pre-Auth RCE

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    Analysis CVE-2023-29300 Bypass: Adobe ColdFusion Pre-Auth RCE
    Original evidence ↗
  2. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA-ADP

    Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    CISA ADP Vulnrichment
    Original evidence ↗
  3. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    CVE Program

    Record text: CVE Program Container

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    CVE Program Container
    Original evidence ↗
  4. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA KEV

    Exploitation cataloged: Adobe ColdFusion Deserialization of Untrusted Data Vulnerability

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    observed_exploitation
    Value
    Adobe ColdFusion Deserialization of Untrusted Data Vulnerability
    Original evidence ↗
  5. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    FIRST EPSS

    EPSS score: 96.53% probability · 99.88th percentile

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    model_probability
    Value
    Probability 0.965340000000; percentile 0.998770000000
    Original evidence ↗
ExploitationCatalog member

CISA KEV · catalog date Jan 8, 2024 · first observed Jul 19, 2026

Exploit likelihood96.53%

FIRST EPSS · score date Aug 8, 2026 · 99.9th percentile · first observed Aug 8, 2026

SeverityCVSS 9.8

adobe · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Jul 19, 2026 · same-version scores align in this snapshot

Evidence detail

Source limits and decisions

Why each evidence state has this value

casca-unknown-reasons-v1
Exploitation statusEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
None
Exploit likelihoodEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
None
Severity assessmentEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
None
Affected productsSource-reported scope

The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.

Revision
casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
Cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Resolution
Resolve identity

Source comparison

Who said what

adobeOriginal assertion
Record text

Analysis CVE-2023-29300 Bypass: Adobe ColdFusion Pre-Auth RCE

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
Analysis CVE-2023-29300 Bypass: Adobe ColdFusion Pre-Auth RCE
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CISA-ADPIndependent enrichment
Record text

CISA ADP Vulnrichment

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CVE ProgramDerivative copy
Record text

CVE Program Container

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
CVE Program Container
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CISA KEVOriginal assertion
Exploitation cataloged

Adobe ColdFusion Deserialization of Untrusted Data Vulnerability

Inspect raw assertion
Field
observed_exploitation
Value
Adobe ColdFusion Deserialization of Untrusted Data Vulnerability
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
FIRST EPSSOriginal assertion
EPSS score

96.53% probability · 99.88th percentile

Inspect raw assertion
Field
model_probability
Value
Probability 0.965340000000; percentile 0.998770000000
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗

Applicability

Cited product scope

Trace impact →
28Underlying assertions
1Canonical products
28Target assertions
0Constraint assertions

Grouped from 1 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.

Identity source boundaries
  • Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa
  • Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e

2 scope groups

adobe · source assertedAdobeColdFusionDirect source scope
Affected: 0 through cf2023U1 (semver comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "0", "versionType": "semver", "lessThanOrEqual": "cf2023U1"}]
NVD CPE · APPLICATIONadobecoldfusionVulnerable target · 28 assertions
Version 2018; Version 2021; Version 2023Canonical identity product-40c507acd7e9f9a6fe8bc1b45cc600068bd553a29d1397a3d2e038f0deeda04dLinked exact
Scope supported
Inspect raw assertions
  1. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update4:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 12
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    58d32489-627b-4e49-9329-8a3b8f8e4903
  2. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:update7:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 25
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    f9d645a2-e02d-4e82-a2bd-0a7de5b8fbcc
  3. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update8:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 16
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    82208628-f32a-4380-9b0f-dc8507e7701d
  4. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update17:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 9
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    907f11b7-56c6-49f1-bc7b-e86b35346fd3
  5. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:update1:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 19
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    afd05e3a-10f9-4c75-9710-ba46b66ff6e6
  6. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update13:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 5
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    c26bf72c-e991-4170-b68b-09b20b6c0679
  7. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update10:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 2
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    8ddd85df-69a0-476f-8365-cd67c75cf0ce
  8. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update6:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 14
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    9f9336cc-e38f-4bcb-83cd-805ec7fef806
  9. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:update2:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 20
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    d57c8681-ac68-47df-a61e-b5c4b4a47663
  10. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update14:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 6
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    25b4b4f2-318f-4046-ade5-e9dd64f83fd9
  11. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update5:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 13
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    6d5860e1-d293-48fe-9796-058b78b2d571
  12. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:update4:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 22
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    7773db68-414a-4ba9-960f-52471a784379
  13. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update1:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 1
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    edb126bf-e09d-4e58-a39f-1190407d1cab
  14. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update2:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 10
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    59649177-81ee-43c3-bfa5-e56e65b486df
  15. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update15:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 7
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    831e8d69-62e9-4778-8cc5-d6d45cf5ab6f
  16. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:update5:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 23
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    b38b9e86-bcd5-4bca-8fb7-ec55905184e6
  17. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update7:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 15
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    97964507-047a-4cc8-8d2b-0ea0c7f9bd50
  18. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update16:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 8
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    2f549bb3-25ab-4c83-b608-3717eadaab35
  19. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update11:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 3
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    23f63675-7817-4af0-a7db-5e35edabf04e
  20. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update3:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 11
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    453b96ed-738a-4642-b461-c5216cf45ca3
  21. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:update3:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 21
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    75608383-b727-48d6-8ffa-d552a338a562
  22. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2023:update1:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 27
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    0aa3d302-cfee-4dfd-ab92-f53c87721bff
  23. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:-:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 0
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    3b54b2b0-b1e1-4b4e-a529-d0bd3b5deef3
  24. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update12:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 4
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    3e3bf53e-2c0d-4f79-8b62-4c2a50cb5f52
  25. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:-:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 18
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    7a94b406-c011-4673-8c2b-0dd94d46cc4c
  26. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2021:update6:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 24
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    5e7bab80-8455-4570-a2a2-8f40469ee9cc
  27. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2023:-:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 26
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    b02a37fe-5d31-4892-a3e6-156a8fe62d28
  28. cpe:2.3:a:adobe:coldfusion:2018:update9:*:*:*:*:*:*
    Official link
    Linked exact
    Role
    Vulnerable target
    Configuration
    0 · node/0 · match 17
    Logic
    OR
    Version bounds
    No explicit bounds
    Match ID
    1563ce5e-a4f7-40a4-a050-bb96e332d8dd

Affected-product evidence

Accepted scope and product mapping

1 canonical links · 1 source-reported links

Mapping establishedEvidence supported

vendor-70d8e9d1eb9ce5b2e6b4c9351aebc88bced6ea77611cbc8d5cdbe8115b6faed8 · product-40c507acd7e9f9a6fe8bc1b45cc600068bd553a29d1397a3d2e038f0deeda04d

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
28
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
0a357402-1807-4b4c-9caf-7b027be905db0bb03995-a236-4700-8db1-90bbfc2dbce60d3e06ae-2bc2-4e61-a32f-63d5084429b10edd034a-bea1-44ce-84ce-c524bc42c6a41e031ebb-5c98-4c48-be4f-b51b4d93d0c42005ce97-453e-407b-8972-810bcff1d5a22d8e075d-9d3d-40c3-9f69-c2a5f4648b803ed50b1e-8f6f-47af-b604-092be5d2e2f847df27b3-ec08-4af6-8ca3-0907f0035fb64a843a18-43cf-421c-b933-e13022fd37ac579075c0-a02b-4d7b-b999-deefbbae3596642d0a52-6915-47a4-83e0-6f092941b9868a40b954-19a9-4201-8b92-8f487c1633b694ab0662-7027-493e-bfdb-99a6c4a6868f98da822f-da67-4ba6-82da-8f3aa359673c9c417aeb-1f37-4a54-8399-75e6a29a55819cd08859-6845-40e8-9b7e-3aff3036aa209cee2e74-f0fa-4380-83bc-e7c3f8a637bb9f364e4f-6cd3-46b0-8faa-9e26f5c3ee83a4410002-f3c1-4bc5-9e78-bf567831e77ba74df311-c7c4-4ee9-b60b-8fcefd3b8ee4c64cc42b-4298-467c-932e-24afa5b59332e1ed79a9-3a60-4dc7-be4f-3da56f2d60b3e45556e1-5e6b-4d0e-9509-1cb06779eb24e730ddaa-9959-4dbd-903d-2bead1c1cf7becd32be9-95ff-4149-a119-b1cb60ab66c3f23faadc-300a-44c6-a65e-5c78effbacc0f7564e19-6596-478d-acd6-bd3158ee00d8
Source-reported scopeSource-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source

Source class
Direct cve affected
Assertions
1
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
d4a150e8-8aed-45b4-bc89-c70c1b427ff9

Assessments

CVSS by origin

9.8
psirt@adobe.comCVSS 3.1 · role Secondary · priority eligiblevalid_matchCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
9.8
adobeCVSS 3.1 · role unknown · display onlyDirect record assessment retained outside normalized eligibilityCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

Direct CVE/CNA normalized decisions

9.8Priority eligible

adobe

CVSS 3.1 · Primary · Original assertion · rank 1

CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
Validation
Valid match
Recomputed
9.8
Decision reason
Evidence supported
Policy
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1

Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.

Evidence boundaries

  • KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
  • EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
  • Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
  • NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
  • Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
  • NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
  • Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
  • OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
  • Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
  • Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.