Evidence dossier

CVE-2024-43461

Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability

Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Sep 16, 2024). microsoft reports CVSS 3.1 8.8. EPSS estimates 54.5% exploit likelihood as of Oct 22, 2026.

76.8–90.2Priority evidence range
Evidence through Oct 22, 2026, 6:07 PM UTC

As of Oct 22, 2026

Normalized restatement

Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability

State
PUBLISHED
Published
Sep 10, 2024
Updated
Aug 10, 2026
Evidence coverage
85%

Evidence chronology

What was known when

Download this view's receipt →
  1. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA-ADP

    Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    CISA ADP Vulnrichment
    Original evidence ↗
  2. Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCA
    microsoft

    Record text: Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    container
    Value
    Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability
    Original evidence ↗
  3. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    CISA KEV

    Exploitation cataloged: Microsoft Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    observed_exploitation
    Value
    Microsoft Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability
    Original evidence ↗
  4. Source dateFirst observed by CASCA
    FIRST EPSS

    EPSS score: 54.49% probability · 99.02th percentile

    Inspect raw assertion
    Field
    model_probability
    Value
    Probability 0.544860000000; percentile 0.990150000000
    Original evidence ↗
ExploitationCatalog member

CISA KEV · catalog date Sep 16, 2024 · first observed Sep 1, 2026

Exploit likelihood54.49%

FIRST EPSS · score date Oct 22, 2026 · 99th percentile · first observed Oct 22, 2026

SeverityCVSS 8.8

microsoft · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Aug 10, 2026 · same-version scores align in this snapshot

Evidence detail

Source limits and decisions

Why each evidence state has this value

casca-unknown-reasons-v1
Exploitation statusLast verified source snapshot retained

The last verified source boundary remains in force for this claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
Review source contract
Exploit likelihoodEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
evidence-policy-v1.1.0
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
None
Severity assessmentEvidence supported

Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.

Revision
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
None
Affected productsSource-reported scope

The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.

Revision
casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
Cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Resolution
Resolve identity

Source comparison

Who said what

CISA-ADPIndependent enrichment
Record text

CISA ADP Vulnrichment

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
microsoftOriginal assertion
Record text

Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability

Inspect raw assertion
Field
container
Value
Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability
Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
CISA KEVOriginal assertion
Exploitation cataloged

Microsoft Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability

Inspect raw assertion
Field
observed_exploitation
Value
Microsoft Windows MSHTML Platform Spoofing Vulnerability
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗
FIRST EPSSOriginal assertion
EPSS score

54.49% probability · 99.02th percentile

Inspect raw assertion
Field
model_probability
Value
Probability 0.544860000000; percentile 0.990150000000
Source dateFirst observed by CASCAOriginal evidence ↗

Applicability

Cited product scope

Trace impact →
23Underlying assertions
15Canonical products
23Target assertions
0Constraint assertions

Grouped from 1 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.

Identity source boundaries
  • Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa
  • Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e

40 scope groups

microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 10 Version 1507Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.10240.0 to before 10.0.10240.20766 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.10240.0", "lessThan": "10.0.10240.20766", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 10 Version 1607Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.14393.0 to before 10.0.14393.7336 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.7336", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 10 Version 1809Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.17763.0 to before 10.0.17763.6293 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.6293", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 10 Version 21H2Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.19043.0 to before 10.0.19044.4894 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19043.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19044.4894", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 10 Version 22H2Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.19045.0 to before 10.0.19045.4894 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19045.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19045.4894", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 11 version 21H2Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.0 to before 10.0.22000.3197 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22000.3197", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 11 version 22H2Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.22621.0 to before 10.0.22621.4169 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22621.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22621.4169", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 11 version 22H3Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.22631.0 to before 10.0.22631.4169 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.4169", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 11 Version 23H2Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.22631.0 to before 10.0.22631.4169 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.4169", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows 11 Version 24H2Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.26100.0 to before 10.0.26100.1742 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.1742", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2008 R2 Service Pack 1Direct source scope
Affected: 6.1.7601.0 to before 6.1.7601.27320 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.1.7601.0", "lessThan": "6.1.7601.27320", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2008 R2 Service Pack 1 (Server Core installation)Direct source scope
Affected: 6.1.7601.0 to before 6.1.7601.27320 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.1.7601.0", "lessThan": "6.1.7601.27320", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2008 Service Pack 2Direct source scope
Affected: 6.0.6003.0 to before 6.0.6003.22870 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.0.6003.0", "lessThan": "6.0.6003.22870", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2008 Service Pack 2Direct source scope
Affected: 6.0.6003.0 to before 6.0.6003.22870 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.0.6003.0", "lessThan": "6.0.6003.22870", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2008 Service Pack 2 (Server Core installation)Direct source scope
Affected: 6.0.6003.0 to before 6.0.6003.22870 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.0.6003.0", "lessThan": "6.0.6003.22870", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2012Direct source scope
Affected: 6.2.9200.0 to before 6.2.9200.25073 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25073", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2012 R2Direct source scope
Affected: 6.3.9600.0 to before 6.3.9600.22175 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.22175", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation)Direct source scope
Affected: 6.3.9600.0 to before 6.3.9600.22175 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.22175", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2012 (Server Core installation)Direct source scope
Affected: 6.2.9200.0 to before 6.2.9200.25073 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25073", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2016Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.14393.0 to before 10.0.14393.7336 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.7336", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2016 (Server Core installation)Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.14393.0 to before 10.0.14393.7336 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.7336", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2019Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.17763.0 to before 10.0.17763.6293 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.6293", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2019 (Server Core installation)Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.17763.0 to before 10.0.17763.6293 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.6293", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2022Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.20348.0 to before 10.0.20348.2700 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.20348.0", "lessThan": "10.0.20348.2700", "versionType": "custom"}]
microsoft · source assertedMicrosoftWindows Server 2022, 23H2 Edition (Server Core installation)Direct source scope
Affected: 10.0.25398.0 to before 10.0.25398.1128 (custom comparison)
Source-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Inspect raw assertion[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.25398.0", "lessThan": "10.0.25398.1128", "versionType": "custom"}]

Affected-product evidence

Accepted scope and product mapping

0 canonical links · 2 source-reported links

Source-reported scopeSource-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source

Source class
Direct cve affected
Assertions
25
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
01b701b2-0ecd-4216-963d-77fdb1260cff056806c3-97e6-47f2-aba5-5821cbf7e3d5085e0c48-ec2a-4aaa-be85-55dbf8ce106509480b84-1e2d-4576-b4b2-5728fddfb1f319dfa38c-46a0-4541-a4b2-064301e240e21ccce0b6-e08e-4fc1-b216-a409d931a0eb34e25a04-1701-4974-a8d2-c486eebd2a5635b5b732-96ea-4a90-9964-2e87a617951e47a6e350-d5e0-4759-85ef-6d5d8a1388c7588afa93-fb02-45d0-90e7-0c02ecb37ed35d6b136b-656f-4435-80a6-38d8e3ade473612d6fe1-7a2d-4b8d-b02e-f4de8ffa1fbc6c03be25-d13f-4d0e-be29-d6911f2278137aef2a55-d817-4a4f-9c85-a5a9c8a9910d7eac3f22-f1d7-4d94-8b7d-af7b504c72a380f55823-181d-47a1-8094-ba7de77b186682314e8f-46c3-437d-b359-c8cc6921145f976161d9-df9e-45d5-8ed0-b34471080d539f7d39b8-b93e-44d0-bd4d-15c5853cec55b2cec0e8-1bb5-49fd-9131-1dbb2203c93cb3b8c63a-de26-4dfa-bc5a-dd5f08f5b3fac30ddb49-de88-4a56-becc-b490c1620e89d8379ca1-ecce-4164-b927-ccb4161e468fdbe10416-9497-4820-8f21-ec6ddbd29b39e9d43f45-7ad7-4803-9362-735bcb2421cc
Source-reported scopeSource-reported scope

Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.

Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source

Source class
Nvd cpe vulnerable target
Assertions
23
Mapping revision
cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
Observed cutoff
Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
0abbb073-d085-42f8-b012-6a0b32b660300e3ad28e-8a96-4e19-bcd3-4b871d782f92133a760e-cdc1-4745-8ff6-aed2967eacb317e0533d-e713-415d-ac6a-b662663614612034a0e6-a8f1-4a34-9765-76d18090b0793cc4d846-e94f-4ecf-b23c-1210dc798481595fbd7c-0486-4341-a99e-8380e6b6760b6867296b-8602-4aa9-a343-472620059a1369ed2816-a9b7-4705-9022-42380196614f6a0546fd-b8d3-498c-9fa1-d2d88eddd0f26b841006-ffad-4846-bb23-6668361297ec7f6e5497-f88c-4c69-a176-2224bc4b80a58e9ebfaa-2825-422e-8644-73e75fdddb6f944c9ec4-138e-44b3-8d9a-17da45b3876398eca2cf-1040-429d-9c45-19cc913fe37e9b28bc78-2eb5-44a7-b095-4a8e3f0ac0249b6de869-c1fb-471f-a9d5-28f4789ecd459bc2c86f-78d2-45f2-b385-06642bcd8612b96e4db6-27d3-48b8-8599-5b771bcd6fb4e6f1ae58-4674-492a-a77b-0f715109a2b7ea0bf61c-e77c-4b2b-98a1-955a4fabd7ccf61f7130-dfc4-4463-9c23-829c3bbc7133f7943537-e134-45e9-986a-98264e6aaad7

Assessments

CVSS by origin

8.8
secure@microsoft.comCVSS 3.1 · role Secondary · priority eligiblevalid_matchCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
8.8
microsoftCVSS 3.1 · role unknown · display onlyDirect record assessment retained outside normalized eligibilityCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:C

Direct CVE/CNA normalized decisions

8.8Priority eligible

microsoft

CVSS 3.1 · Primary · Original assertion · rank 1

CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:C
Validation
Valid match
Recomputed
8.8
Decision reason
Evidence supported
Policy
casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1

Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.

Evidence boundaries

  • KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
  • EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
  • Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
  • NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
  • Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
  • NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
  • Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
  • OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
  • Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
  • Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.