CISA KEV · catalog date Feb 11, 2025 · first observed Jul 19, 2026
Evidence dossier
CVE-2025-21391
Windows Storage Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Feb 11, 2025). microsoft reports CVSS 3.1 7.1. EPSS estimates 2.3% exploit likelihood as of Aug 27, 2026.
As of Aug 27, 2026
Normalized restatement
Windows Storage Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
- State
- PUBLISHED
- Published
- Feb 11, 2025
- Updated
- Feb 26, 2026
- Evidence coverage
- 92%
Evidence chronology
What was known when
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCACISA-ADPOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAmicrosoftOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: Windows Storage Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Windows Storage Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCACISA KEVOriginal evidence ↗
Exploitation cataloged: Microsoft Windows Storage Link Following Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows Storage Link Following Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCAFIRST EPSSOriginal evidence ↗
EPSS score: 2.26% probability · 81.69th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.022580000000; percentile 0.816900000000
FIRST EPSS · score date Aug 27, 2026 · 81.7th percentile · first observed Aug 27, 2026
microsoft · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Jul 19, 2026 · same-version scores align in this snapshot
Evidence detail
Source limits and decisions
Why each evidence state has this value
casca-unknown-reasons-v1Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.
- Revision
- casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- Resolve identity
Source comparison
Who said what
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Windows Storage Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Windows Storage Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Microsoft Windows Storage Link Following Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows Storage Link Following Vulnerability
2.26% probability · 81.69th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.022580000000; percentile 0.816900000000
Applicability
Cited product scope
Grouped from 1 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.
Identity source boundaries
- Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z
27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa - Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z
955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e
30 scope groups
Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.10240.0", "lessThan": "10.0.10240.20915", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.7785", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.6893", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19044.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19044.5487", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19045.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19045.5487", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22621.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22621.4890", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.4890", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.4890", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.3194", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.7785", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.7785", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.6893", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.6893", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.20348.0", "lessThan": "10.0.20348.3207", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.25398.0", "lessThan": "10.0.25398.1425", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.3194", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.3194", "versionType": "custom"}]product-9851bd571b8ab08bca589cd73710badfef557d036f0fb7707f694f1c9f597cb4Linked exactInspect raw assertions
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1507:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 0
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.10240.20915
- Match ID
8b692d57-d1f5-440e-ac28-c7633740ed6e
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1507:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 1
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.10240.20915
- Match ID
44723f8c-6b56-4a27-b213-e822adc16078
product-740fec3e9838b5eabe76ebe27e4d0d7a4cb2e0ef7e13923300d3d0b51e3fce1cLinked exactInspect raw assertions
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 2
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.14393.7785
- Match ID
c91c224c-5cc9-42ef-8053-ac80ee2cc2b5
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 3
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.14393.7785
- Match ID
07421d08-3f88-4532-b652-36825784eff9
product-a3084138383423221f61594e86f5b295e5e254acd7ae5284f45e0877a084db43Linked exactInspect raw assertions
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 4
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.17763.6893
- Match ID
b5bc47f5-150e-4d18-8cc4-356f22171d81
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 5
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.17763.6893
- Match ID
e448ecb4-ce46-4a29-a092-5a4d334e5535
product-ec10c9f400f23fdf118887f60fe116ffde4adb76dcf118cdd3a7556fd033da3bLinked exactInspect raw assertion
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 6
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.19044.5487
- Match ID
a932cba3-651f-4bba-968a-2d6ca7df8506
product-a6295b9daad3ca57ce70751badba5b7fe99229c8a562cc7400e8cfef3daccaeeLinked exactInspect raw assertion
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 7
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.19045.5487
- Match ID
810c8ecb-619f-447c-b352-e66f7ef5216e
product-f8c509b6ec25f2a4338a23556be321da5a7c3e8da9f1a4c52f7f15dd0e9a0d2aLinked exactInspect raw assertion
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 8
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.22621.4890
- Match ID
30af7170-5722-4c9c-a8ad-7a9f0c5952ee
product-026201767813843a6d53867bacde4a55c3035cb868c0a72434012c5e30dab148Linked exactInspect raw assertion
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 9
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.22631.4890
- Match ID
62ffd367-fb8b-48ca-813f-760e4f393555
product-8665879a2f5fe8b8eab868c43d6ace340b95d1f3879639d97ebdf60ef7b49b5fLinked exactInspect raw assertion
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_24h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 10
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.26100.3107
- Match ID
9fd60a47-7402-461d-84c4-61e77764df16
Affected-product evidence
Accepted scope and product mapping
13 canonical links · 1 source-reported links
vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-026201767813843a6d53867bacde4a55c3035cb868c0a72434012c5e30dab148
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
9e52dd05-ced3-4a1f-af74-e30e3ec3948bvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-02e254d111ce604757a15650ef469f4f8365d6247da82ce3ac2695c3cfc7dc5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
bc24fdec-68b7-4346-a667-d823f8adbdadvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-25a2932c0bbcb648f7e391c8b9d34c734e5085444c03c1c206b9d4c4baa80b25
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
c8a07d10-d148-4da2-b817-18aac5cc928fvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-3fe7da0d567cbba9da3f09deea827ccacd90ac3643fc3e1622f75fb001f24443
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
2ce7bde3-180e-4690-ba82-f2a30fe787e1vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-740fec3e9838b5eabe76ebe27e4d0d7a4cb2e0ef7e13923300d3d0b51e3fce1c
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
4fb38d39-1402-44ac-bfa0-5566c6db0539d4e38d8c-bb1d-4734-94c7-3e77c1ee178avendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-8665879a2f5fe8b8eab868c43d6ace340b95d1f3879639d97ebdf60ef7b49b5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
6aa74d45-c47b-4296-bfc8-81ee3a212a64vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-9851bd571b8ab08bca589cd73710badfef557d036f0fb7707f694f1c9f597cb4
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
bcffb400-b3dc-4b67-a0fb-3dce5a364a91ebaf9ff7-4691-407b-b028-9d0721a8968avendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a3084138383423221f61594e86f5b295e5e254acd7ae5284f45e0877a084db43
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
0ebe13ca-87a9-4731-b8b8-cf8e754c525ca703e1cd-7d69-4fd0-ab49-4259bd1ffea2vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a6295b9daad3ca57ce70751badba5b7fe99229c8a562cc7400e8cfef3daccaee
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
6fe78173-a689-4908-981a-548e2075ed2avendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-bc66b50eed682b3633d0f3a2914725d0a72d6d0d5fece14f566d91bc87448c0b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
39888fc9-e8b5-4f63-9ac6-ce11819e1a49vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-d196d31962e613955a91e33e795c22dcfa7bf25173abebaca616a6350cce9ce1
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
53c87354-1db9-430f-b959-b87d0a19bbb7vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-ec10c9f400f23fdf118887f60fe116ffde4adb76dcf118cdd3a7556fd033da3b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
a85e59cb-fa7f-4dcc-ace0-9818cb42ab7bvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-f8c509b6ec25f2a4338a23556be321da5a7c3e8da9f1a4c52f7f15dd0e9a0d2a
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
b84465d5-db39-4f40-8698-efae5629bc40Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source
- Source class
- Direct cve affected
- Assertions
- 17
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
252702e4-0bfc-4e3f-b562-bb79ea3e466a27dd6079-f2f1-4a36-85a8-a4bedad4de4d45ace877-5e4b-43f2-8883-bc8de7de80d74c4d4e89-375e-4f07-9a6a-1c14c9d5e49d511fefd0-e01b-4548-a687-9c60903f3be671d3c78b-0e89-471d-89bc-acba667e2e5573617cdf-c87f-4ad4-b54f-ddc9c2ded0c175cd66d6-9f54-4a04-a2e9-9ec517c48e68763c5f1e-6cc1-4b09-a42c-128caaabd9f299135ac2-13c5-4ecc-bebf-6262eff0168ca05f9230-5023-412f-882a-954b1bd25fe9ba2522f7-b31a-4632-a58a-7914d8ffc9daba803bbc-b175-4674-89f4-f6aa60846c12bc8c7917-c584-4123-a2c5-59717bd49c9fd57323ac-f19c-4d23-8540-d493a7013992da57a8b2-ce8d-421d-beef-c41fe5ae81b0fef1fb10-8ef7-41af-989b-6b946ecc1328Assessments
CVSS by origin
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:N/I:H/A:HCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:N/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:CDirect CVE/CNA normalized decisions
microsoft
CVSS 3.1 · Primary · Original assertion · rank 1
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:N/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:C- Validation
- Valid match
- Recomputed
- 7.1
- Decision reason
- Evidence supported
- Policy
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.
Evidence boundaries
- KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
- EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
- Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
- NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
- Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
- NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
- Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
- OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
- Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
- Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.