CISA KEV · catalog date Jun 10, 2025 · first observed Jul 19, 2026
Evidence dossier
CVE-2025-33053
Internet Shortcut Files Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Jun 10, 2025). microsoft reports CVSS 3.1 8.8. EPSS estimates 85.3% exploit likelihood as of Aug 26, 2026.
As of Aug 27, 2026
Normalized restatement
External control of file name or path in Internet Shortcut Files allows an unauthorized attacker to execute code over a network.
- State
- PUBLISHED
- Published
- Jun 10, 2025
- Updated
- Feb 26, 2026
- Evidence coverage
- 92%
Evidence chronology
What was known when
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCACISA-ADPOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCACVE ProgramOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: CVE Program Container
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CVE Program Container
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAmicrosoftOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: Internet Shortcut Files Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Internet Shortcut Files Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCACISA KEVOriginal evidence ↗
Exploitation cataloged: Microsoft Windows External Control of File Name or Path Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows External Control of File Name or Path Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCAFIRST EPSSOriginal evidence ↗
EPSS score: 85.29% probability · 99.7th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.852890000000; percentile 0.996990000000
FIRST EPSS · score date Aug 26, 2026 · 99.7th percentile · first observed Aug 26, 2026
microsoft · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Jul 19, 2026 · same-version scores align in this snapshot
Evidence detail
Source limits and decisions
Why each evidence state has this value
casca-unknown-reasons-v1Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.
- Revision
- casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- Resolve identity
Source comparison
Who said what
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
CVE Program Container
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CVE Program Container
Internet Shortcut Files Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Internet Shortcut Files Remote Code Execution Vulnerability
Microsoft Windows External Control of File Name or Path Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows External Control of File Name or Path Vulnerability
85.29% probability · 99.7th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.852890000000; percentile 0.996990000000
Applicability
Cited product scope
Grouped from 1 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.
Identity source boundaries
- Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z
27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa - Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z
955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e
40 scope groups
Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.10240.0", "lessThan": "10.0.10240.21034", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8148", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.7434", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19044.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19044.5965", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19045.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19045.5965", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22621.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22621.5472", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.5472", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.5472", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.4349", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.1.7601.0", "lessThan": "6.1.7601.27769", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.1.7601.0", "lessThan": "6.1.7601.27769", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.0.6003.0", "lessThan": "6.0.6003.23351", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.0.6003.0", "lessThan": "6.0.6003.23351", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25522", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.22620", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.22620", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25522", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8148", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8148", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.7434", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.7434", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.20348.0", "lessThan": "10.0.20348.3807", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.25398.0", "lessThan": "10.0.25398.1665", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.4349", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.4349", "versionType": "custom"}]Affected-product evidence
Accepted scope and product mapping
15 canonical links · 1 source-reported links
vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-026201767813843a6d53867bacde4a55c3035cb868c0a72434012c5e30dab148
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
3de4c3af-116e-4b37-b11b-b0e53e9c81a3dff2921f-29cc-4963-9ec8-88a528b7d9f8vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-02e254d111ce604757a15650ef469f4f8365d6247da82ce3ac2695c3cfc7dc5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
91945729-1ebc-45a8-81fe-02e30a998342vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-217b1ab3d25f361a639824f86753d418b35aa2a816ee370bb71b5d1dd883d87a
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 3
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
59fc7d55-29f4-4aff-95a4-edd54e3a0836b433e2ba-b51f-4af6-b1e0-bc2960f02e19e4344029-fec9-48a5-8e33-19f1942ddde2vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-25a2932c0bbcb648f7e391c8b9d34c734e5085444c03c1c206b9d4c4baa80b25
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
8405623c-7de2-4519-ba4b-7fef1cacc91dvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-3fe7da0d567cbba9da3f09deea827ccacd90ac3643fc3e1622f75fb001f24443
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
b32bc654-21ef-418c-8a4e-ee852743c334vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-5a80416e92fed0cddbb3d4f3840218b448dee11159824ad25a0353da566963fe
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
0a3f2dd2-970f-44b5-80e8-d7716496f0ef4a772bf5-fbe1-4912-9602-109a0e0e71ffvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-740fec3e9838b5eabe76ebe27e4d0d7a4cb2e0ef7e13923300d3d0b51e3fce1c
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
97437028-a6b4-4ae7-927d-d77a633644e6ba08d5f2-8b01-4644-b48f-4e259fed706cvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-8665879a2f5fe8b8eab868c43d6ace340b95d1f3879639d97ebdf60ef7b49b5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
2b0095c9-3a68-4202-9b1e-560d5721474dd23ceff9-86f7-4477-ad95-0001b3101e47vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-9851bd571b8ab08bca589cd73710badfef557d036f0fb7707f694f1c9f597cb4
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
54fbec3a-bc95-40d2-9b0f-355ef718b01160c686c4-9f69-4ad6-b579-1fac70d276d9vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a3084138383423221f61594e86f5b295e5e254acd7ae5284f45e0877a084db43
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
0af6b2d4-38d6-4305-980a-4483f2d5afc70b565bef-8812-4721-90dc-74dd9dbe0337vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a6295b9daad3ca57ce70751badba5b7fe99229c8a562cc7400e8cfef3daccaee
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 3
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
1fe0d210-feab-4c1f-b834-699adb8f12dc98f22e7a-fc97-4d77-8626-675b6d568847fd408ba6-9f6f-46d2-9755-a2161210e66bvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-bc66b50eed682b3633d0f3a2914725d0a72d6d0d5fece14f566d91bc87448c0b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
7cdc67be-8e2b-49a5-b7b0-63bf98a5612cvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-d196d31962e613955a91e33e795c22dcfa7bf25173abebaca616a6350cce9ce1
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
74dc8fdc-2c96-4602-a2e2-06923d4118b5vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-ec10c9f400f23fdf118887f60fe116ffde4adb76dcf118cdd3a7556fd033da3b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 3
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
124cecd7-ea10-48df-aa4d-40a8815a999928fe5960-a37b-468b-abfa-c57e2f68f970ac796a7d-1965-4a75-9ef7-d438fc8fb949vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-f8c509b6ec25f2a4338a23556be321da5a7c3e8da9f1a4c52f7f15dd0e9a0d2a
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
79e0b9ae-305d-4ee7-a0a7-a7b561da3233ae559a7e-5be8-4cdd-8a22-e23e77b4b012Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source
- Source class
- Direct cve affected
- Assertions
- 25
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
010c6de3-243d-4caf-ba8e-3f79cc2a3d6e0dead098-ef4c-4ec3-bf58-bd040fa97f7e1a8781eb-1dd3-4ae5-9e20-84155b842e681c0c121e-0e93-453e-9bb5-d27a8cbe67ea227ead3a-34a8-4443-be68-4a7c8732c19250b89cc1-ff49-4697-aff3-77e0edc463f269aa8c33-6bff-4111-b65b-f2ae329c1c946c3922de-2128-42b9-93fd-4b90c964d40f6c557085-8160-487f-832e-b550e0c54f1c76320a6c-91af-4e09-9867-bee3c94f93b986c7ffc7-32a5-42df-ad40-a6547126236c884ee0f8-cece-4770-a93e-5e13dc970fc998202a94-66fc-4096-a7cd-609700e769db9b1b7c8f-cb77-4afc-b3a5-b3d99a1da7229e816b8d-5b09-4dc1-8dec-b3947f29379aac1ae6ad-ca7c-44a9-b598-ac58a7bb6517b82920cc-1333-4ba8-b7d0-b4fb1973f30fc6f34dad-5e94-4e68-8c81-937f856918abca72dbb5-0724-40b6-9488-00a24e289125d37f24a8-3385-4aaa-b1c3-def459eacbf6dfd5d1e2-18cc-4e5a-9d31-38c82d3d5f3fe956b5f2-78ba-4f31-99c3-bbd9218e0193f6df46a3-2df0-4976-bee3-185201969bcff880a402-7694-4ced-a943-f2f7761c8c2dfe053d1d-a83c-4fbe-aa68-6736a51351cdAssessments
CVSS by origin
CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:HCVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:CDirect CVE/CNA normalized decisions
microsoft
CVSS 3.1 · Primary · Original assertion · rank 1
CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:C- Validation
- Valid match
- Recomputed
- 8.8
- Decision reason
- Evidence supported
- Policy
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.
Evidence boundaries
- KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
- EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
- Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
- NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
- Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
- NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
- Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
- OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
- Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
- Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.