CISA KEV · catalog date Oct 14, 2025 · first observed Jul 19, 2026
Evidence dossier
CVE-2025-59230
Windows Remote Access Connection Manager Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Oct 14, 2025). microsoft reports CVSS 3.1 7.8. EPSS estimates 2.7% exploit likelihood as of Aug 27, 2026.
As of Aug 27, 2026
Normalized restatement
Improper access control in Windows Remote Access Connection Manager allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.
- State
- PUBLISHED
- Published
- Oct 14, 2025
- Updated
- Feb 26, 2026
- Evidence coverage
- 91%
Evidence chronology
What was known when
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCACISA-ADPOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCACVE ProgramOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: CVE Program Container
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CVE Program Container
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAmicrosoftOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: Windows Remote Access Connection Manager Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Windows Remote Access Connection Manager Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCACISA KEVOriginal evidence ↗
Exploitation cataloged: Microsoft Windows Improper Access Control Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows Improper Access Control Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCAFIRST EPSSOriginal evidence ↗
EPSS score: 2.68% probability · 84.69th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.026750000000; percentile 0.846890000000
FIRST EPSS · score date Aug 27, 2026 · 84.7th percentile · first observed Aug 27, 2026
microsoft · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Jul 19, 2026 · same-version scores align in this snapshot
Evidence detail
Source limits and decisions
Why each evidence state has this value
casca-unknown-reasons-v1Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- None
The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.
- Revision
- casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
- Cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolution
- Resolve identity
Source comparison
Who said what
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
CVE Program Container
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CVE Program Container
Windows Remote Access Connection Manager Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Windows Remote Access Connection Manager Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Microsoft Windows Improper Access Control Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows Improper Access Control Vulnerability
2.68% probability · 84.69th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.026750000000; percentile 0.846890000000
Applicability
Cited product scope
Grouped from 1 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.
Identity source boundaries
- Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z
27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa - Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z
955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e
42 scope groups
Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.10240.0", "lessThan": "10.0.10240.21161", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8519", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.7919", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19044.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19044.6456", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19045.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19045.6456", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22621.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22621.6060", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.6060", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.6060", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.6899", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26200.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26200.6899", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.1.7601.0", "lessThan": "6.1.7601.27974", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.1.7601.0", "lessThan": "6.1.7601.27974", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.0.6003.0", "lessThan": "6.0.6003.23571", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.0.6003.0", "lessThan": "6.0.6003.23571", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25722", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.22824", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.22824", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25722", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8519", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8519", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.7919", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.7919", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.20348.0", "lessThan": "10.0.20348.4294", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.25398.0", "lessThan": "10.0.25398.1913", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.6899", "versionType": "custom"}]Affected-product evidence
Accepted scope and product mapping
16 canonical links · 1 source-reported links
vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-026201767813843a6d53867bacde4a55c3035cb868c0a72434012c5e30dab148
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
5b0b038c-2118-46a9-98af-bca0ebc2d69avendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-02e254d111ce604757a15650ef469f4f8365d6247da82ce3ac2695c3cfc7dc5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
bf0c8fe3-afdb-4e63-8fb1-5086fedeef76vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-217b1ab3d25f361a639824f86753d418b35aa2a816ee370bb71b5d1dd883d87a
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 3
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
074bf91d-a25a-439d-bb33-ca3cb99f5ea678b22f16-52ca-4ccb-991a-dd456f4e5fabc6991cf5-97dd-41a5-8fc9-9012fe3557eavendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-25a2932c0bbcb648f7e391c8b9d34c734e5085444c03c1c206b9d4c4baa80b25
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
b72f47f6-d0b9-46f2-b9fe-6dee5b10970evendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-3fe7da0d567cbba9da3f09deea827ccacd90ac3643fc3e1622f75fb001f24443
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
091a1f31-c348-43d6-bfc7-044c05f0680dvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-5a80416e92fed0cddbb3d4f3840218b448dee11159824ad25a0353da566963fe
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
091ea32f-313f-4353-8816-14b7d7f9152c51446f28-1d88-44c3-9cbd-241c7edecc73vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-740fec3e9838b5eabe76ebe27e4d0d7a4cb2e0ef7e13923300d3d0b51e3fce1c
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
a071c0c8-d456-4d3e-b8c9-e419e5562b70d5599d33-3b78-4184-895d-4066f36aff4fvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-8665879a2f5fe8b8eab868c43d6ace340b95d1f3879639d97ebdf60ef7b49b5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
a1a29d4a-4152-427e-8b7c-82017f354b7bvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-9851bd571b8ab08bca589cd73710badfef557d036f0fb7707f694f1c9f597cb4
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
65222e9e-8c33-4031-a09d-ee7e4e2ac2a1edd8388c-6a39-4d84-9151-cc2fa079154cvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a3084138383423221f61594e86f5b295e5e254acd7ae5284f45e0877a084db43
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
50ae563e-f887-4cd4-8d31-92b87e2a19305e0054bb-0868-4005-9be5-40155bde786dvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a6295b9daad3ca57ce70751badba5b7fe99229c8a562cc7400e8cfef3daccaee
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
42efc9f0-33bd-43fb-a077-2134ecc82b4cvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-bc66b50eed682b3633d0f3a2914725d0a72d6d0d5fece14f566d91bc87448c0b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
0d0fded9-41da-41c4-ae82-942db3a8b1f5vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-d196d31962e613955a91e33e795c22dcfa7bf25173abebaca616a6350cce9ce1
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
d9add564-5b31-411c-89dc-06fe6bc49cf9vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-e9349aae7bae97a590ecc61309b626fd2c236f349da7ff6c765ab3d5cefdfa78
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
09c29ad7-c823-426f-9a7b-79db51e36581vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-ec10c9f400f23fdf118887f60fe116ffde4adb76dcf118cdd3a7556fd033da3b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
ae870737-758a-4693-91d8-8457383d3c90vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-f8c509b6ec25f2a4338a23556be321da5a7c3e8da9f1a4c52f7f15dd0e9a0d2a
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
372f2758-f84f-4895-a0dc-7b0b21e7e1d6Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source
- Source class
- Direct cve affected
- Assertions
- 26
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Aug 27, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
05f9e22c-14ae-454f-a9b1-fb89be828e430891e709-f068-4288-9922-fd3534d5312b1c6458fd-1dbc-452c-9e03-865f182a3dff2cf7a75b-ce44-421a-87b5-1200981a7c132d9d2855-2565-47ba-9685-ecb8e012d06d3204ac7e-53aa-4344-8bc3-478ab6355202379beea5-58c7-467c-8be4-f5dca3b199b13d8e9058-f359-44ad-ab32-cfd49f9e6e8a4029b869-1579-44ae-ac26-eee2929baac65ac49945-50c0-46e8-ba67-c7b227f77a006c92d977-5298-4993-92d4-a56906ba965e7a28ddf5-7f96-4a0c-b9e8-086bc3b3bca27bf85854-b2c8-4ef4-ae14-1f5aa5c8a6138003087d-4e19-4b2d-8104-7cb6c92d7891801f7c11-7dea-4350-ae27-bd617c36151882ca9d8e-c80b-492a-ba73-9d0ace0625c895556ffe-570b-45f1-901e-6d6cfac9e7d79f141626-8adb-4f59-88b1-f986459430efa640ad84-6560-4378-9057-8248b50c6ec3a6bc30d2-f62f-443e-8c6b-ab1eaa4d8d64a7a2bb5b-49cb-4eb6-ac4a-7fee299f8db1b1deeb6c-0609-4b9a-a84a-b6ee44039600c2f3f481-2e23-4ca1-8121-69c1321b1120e51a4ba6-3ca8-4184-b3ba-6d79894ffc9bea190272-151b-4593-a4f3-0d5c207bdc5dfa1148c3-ec16-40b0-add4-2f89ce4effc8Assessments
CVSS by origin
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:HCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:CDirect CVE/CNA normalized decisions
microsoft
CVSS 3.1 · Primary · Original assertion · rank 1
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:C- Validation
- Valid match
- Recomputed
- 7.8
- Decision reason
- Evidence supported
- Policy
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.
Evidence boundaries
- KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
- EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
- Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
- NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
- Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
- NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
- Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
- OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
- Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
- Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.