CISA KEV · catalog date Feb 10, 2026 · first observed Sep 1, 2026
Evidence dossier
CVE-2026-21533
Windows Remote Desktop Services Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV since Feb 10, 2026). microsoft reports CVSS 3.1 7.8. EPSS estimates 4.1% exploit likelihood as of Oct 22, 2026.
As of Oct 22, 2026
Normalized restatement
Improper privilege management in Windows Remote Desktop allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.
- State
- PUBLISHED
- Published
- Feb 10, 2026
- Updated
- Aug 19, 2026
- Evidence coverage
- 92%
Evidence chronology
What was known when
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCACISA-ADPOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCACVE ProgramOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: CVE Program Container
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CVE Program Container
- Source dateSource date omittedFirst observed by CASCAmicrosoftOriginal evidence ↗
Record text: Windows Remote Desktop Services Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Windows Remote Desktop Services Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCACISA KEVOriginal evidence ↗
Exploitation cataloged: Microsoft Windows Improper Privilege Management Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows Improper Privilege Management Vulnerability
- Source dateFirst observed by CASCAFIRST EPSSOriginal evidence ↗
EPSS score: 4.15% probability · 90.81th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.041480000000; percentile 0.908110000000
FIRST EPSS · score date Oct 22, 2026 · 90.8th percentile · first observed Oct 22, 2026
microsoft · CVSS 3.1 · first observed Aug 19, 2026 · same-version scores align in this snapshot
Evidence detail
Source limits and decisions
Why each evidence state has this value
casca-unknown-reasons-v1The last verified source boundary remains in force for this claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolution
- Review source contract
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- evidence-policy-v1.1.0
- Cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolution
- None
Eligible evidence is present for this bounded claim.
- Revision
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
- Cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolution
- None
The cited source assertion is retained while canonical product linkage remains open.
- Revision
- casca-factor-d-obligations-v1
- Cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
- Resolution
- Resolve identity
Source comparison
Who said what
CISA ADP Vulnrichment
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CISA ADP Vulnrichment
CVE Program Container
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- CVE Program Container
Windows Remote Desktop Services Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
container- Value
- Windows Remote Desktop Services Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability
Microsoft Windows Improper Privilege Management Vulnerability
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
observed_exploitation- Value
- Microsoft Windows Improper Privilege Management Vulnerability
4.15% probability · 90.81th percentile
Inspect raw assertion
- Field
model_probability- Value
- Probability 0.041480000000; percentile 0.908110000000
Applicability
Cited product scope
Grouped from 1 configuration nodes in this exact snapshot. Visual grouping is navigational; asset exposure and root cause require cited evidence.
Identity source boundaries
- Cpe dictionary1,775,266 records · observed through 2026-07-21T06:45:29.809Z
27d65b0f-b718-4b4f-bb79-c47c68d09dfa - Cpe match643,502 records · observed through 2026-07-21T08:13:17.697Z
955dae73-7302-438b-aee1-058d7cc5d48e
35 scope groups
Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8868", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.8389", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19044.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19044.6937", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.19045.0", "lessThan": "10.0.19045.6937", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.6649", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.22631.0", "lessThan": "10.0.22631.6649", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.7840", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26200.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26200.7840", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.28000.0", "lessThan": "10.0.28000.1575", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.28000.0", "lessThan": "10.0.28000.1575", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25923", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.23022", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.3.9600.0", "lessThan": "6.3.9600.23022", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "6.2.9200.0", "lessThan": "6.2.9200.25923", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8868", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.14393.0", "lessThan": "10.0.14393.8868", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.8389", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.17763.0", "lessThan": "10.0.17763.8389", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.20348.0", "lessThan": "10.0.20348.4773", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.25398.0", "lessThan": "10.0.25398.2149", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.32370", "versionType": "custom"}]Canonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Inspect raw assertion
[{"status": "affected", "version": "10.0.26100.0", "lessThan": "10.0.26100.32370", "versionType": "custom"}]product-740fec3e9838b5eabe76ebe27e4d0d7a4cb2e0ef7e13923300d3d0b51e3fce1cLinked exactInspect raw assertions
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 1
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.14393.8868
- Match ID
b941280b-97f6-4f60-80a3-40482a74488d
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 0
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.14393.8868
- Match ID
e78a20fd-b910-43df-be89-e971e2fd0049
product-a3084138383423221f61594e86f5b295e5e254acd7ae5284f45e0877a084db43Linked exactInspect raw assertions
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x96:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 3
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.17763.8389
- Match ID
458d2b4a-5769-48f3-ba97-f174fe89f928
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 2
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.17763.8389
- Match ID
c09c54da-6ab0-4696-a2f2-c11cfc292ea9
product-ec10c9f400f23fdf118887f60fe116ffde4adb76dcf118cdd3a7556fd033da3bLinked exactInspect raw assertions
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 6
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.19044.6937
- Match ID
37e2bff1-28c0-4fa0-9a6c-020146e4ad54
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 5
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.19044.6937
- Match ID
893dba65-116b-4ae0-80e1-50458cb5fdad
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:arm64:*- Official link
- Linked exact
- Role
- Vulnerable target
- Configuration
- 0 · node/0 · match 4
- Logic
- OR
- Version bounds
- through excluding 10.0.19044.6937
- Match ID
edb3fd9a-2786-4ec1-8989-2b0d054e0307
Affected-product evidence
Accepted scope and product mapping
13 canonical links · 1 source-reported links
vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-026201767813843a6d53867bacde4a55c3035cb868c0a72434012c5e30dab148
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
2ed77ead-0af2-43cf-a973-1f743d7ae939554c6104-495b-467d-b897-af30d464c7e2vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-02e254d111ce604757a15650ef469f4f8365d6247da82ce3ac2695c3cfc7dc5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
77c56cda-6ad8-4fe7-a3c0-3c0a171bd160vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-25a2932c0bbcb648f7e391c8b9d34c734e5085444c03c1c206b9d4c4baa80b25
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
6cd9bcd2-8f0d-4852-9e29-833af065a771vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-3fe7da0d567cbba9da3f09deea827ccacd90ac3643fc3e1622f75fb001f24443
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
cab15643-b1b6-45e6-b4d9-d16ce2e7d76avendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-5a80416e92fed0cddbb3d4f3840218b448dee11159824ad25a0353da566963fe
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
4df98806-f195-47b0-b830-688e5206347ab5bc7116-16e1-46a7-898d-22116ec621e3vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-740fec3e9838b5eabe76ebe27e4d0d7a4cb2e0ef7e13923300d3d0b51e3fce1c
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
39a50a33-d60a-4b44-bcd6-fc9a6a209e9e39cbaa17-abb9-44fe-bf2d-7e76719b83f7vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-8665879a2f5fe8b8eab868c43d6ace340b95d1f3879639d97ebdf60ef7b49b5f
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
08b00f13-d368-44ad-ac64-9b1ff8858b9c67147ea4-0090-4652-b8d5-5c3d8f5f6dcavendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a3084138383423221f61594e86f5b295e5e254acd7ae5284f45e0877a084db43
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
84c87839-7016-4068-9311-ab486e2bb15adb8eb7c3-ccb7-4c57-99a2-50ff1cff7ac5vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-a6295b9daad3ca57ce70751badba5b7fe99229c8a562cc7400e8cfef3daccaee
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 3
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
293a2552-7628-4501-8778-412e3dba8527d4c08eee-9f9f-41f2-90bf-a547438d3e80e1169eeb-09f2-48fb-98b9-5a54a8aa09fcvendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-bc66b50eed682b3633d0f3a2914725d0a72d6d0d5fece14f566d91bc87448c0b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
ee97bf6e-1539-4e05-8466-515f3ecebd22vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-d196d31962e613955a91e33e795c22dcfa7bf25173abebaca616a6350cce9ce1
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 1
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
e6ba1b2d-749b-483b-982f-3f2b7a7b98devendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-e9349aae7bae97a590ecc61309b626fd2c236f349da7ff6c765ab3d5cefdfa78
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 2
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
232a565f-4e4d-4011-9f07-9b8aa68414467773b4b2-5e94-4e5f-85f2-cf166f528cb7vendor-01299a5a765aea70faa05f2d06e0c26a5d498fd34553e868d89e8a43b31864db · product-ec10c9f400f23fdf118887f60fe116ffde4adb76dcf118cdd3a7556fd033da3b
- Source class
- Nvd cpe vulnerable target
- Assertions
- 3
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
59838e26-25a1-4da1-ab8f-bc11acc4eb4c9e9e1926-2276-4c8a-8605-25f384a22072c310f0d8-1c34-4963-909c-af77a8db805aCanonical linkage remains open; the cited source assertion is retained below.
Vendor specified only by source · Product specified only by source
- Source class
- Direct cve affected
- Assertions
- 22
- Mapping revision
- cpe23-exact-mapping-v1
- Observed cutoff
- Oct 22, 2026
Retained assertion IDs
0b2bf363-89e4-4963-939b-6d0ffa0bc0a514ff5f7c-29aa-4183-b536-7c39c168e7d217d425f0-861a-485e-b84d-c570f81a805029b0aed6-0549-4e02-ac35-54a2bef5ccf636d6a328-eefe-45e4-ba2c-9d3f97f896953db1e2a2-4abe-4bbc-92f6-319bea24bd9148004807-8db0-4737-90ca-64a2753addca5d95bd18-66ad-4d18-a992-e1a21bbc6eb55dce1751-8b0c-4f96-8007-80c5d468317f68f868c9-5e9a-48c3-891c-7eaafc778a796b963f33-f5da-4e2c-bf42-377757bed88672fee610-a827-42df-afb5-cb1ad39094dd809a7531-9c06-4aca-a9ed-0c658ee62cf694fb5e63-26cd-49f4-9fde-b46820fce2aa957782cf-6585-4f8a-a694-39976c01af8697b31008-156a-405f-9fdc-f7bf46bc694eadfb0d5c-9283-4fc3-8ad9-9c72aecdc6d5b7e4a105-55f3-4e66-8289-27a949b12a3ebe47a2f3-b511-4686-b263-1dde60a22330d7c8e94a-3191-4cb6-a7ef-8f049ff16a00e2402e0c-8846-4710-8548-45db5cd99e39e64dd683-b83b-4af1-96b5-898dd6e0c0f1Assessments
CVSS by origin
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:HCVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:CDirect CVE/CNA normalized decisions
microsoft
CVSS 3.1 · Primary · Original assertion · rank 1
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H/E:F/RL:O/RC:C- Validation
- Valid match
- Recomputed
- 7.8
- Decision reason
- Evidence supported
- Policy
- casca-direct-cvss-eligibility-v1
Assessments are retained side by side under closed precedence. Cascade never averages CVSS.
Evidence boundaries
- KEV membership is authoritative for the catalog, not proof of exposure in any environment.
- EPSS is a dated model probability and not an individual-environment prediction.
- Affected or fixed status applies only to the exact cited product and version scope; remaining scope stays source-scoped.
- NVD-carried upstream facts remain derivative; independent corroboration requires a separately authored source.
- Only NVD metrics validated under the generation-bound calculator are Public Priority eligible; direct CVE record metrics remain display-only.
- NVD CVSS source eligibility is closed: NVD-authored, exact record-source, or registered same-CVE container origin; unmapped sources remain display-only.
- Core replay supports the active and immediately prior generation; retrospective valid-at replay is deferred.
- OSV aggregation and OSV-converted NVD material are not independent corroboration.
- Red Hat facts are vendor assertions for the exact supplied products.
- Nonmembership and not-yet-observed states are not proof of safety.